Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 15, 2022

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Thu Dec 31 21:49:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @apoorva_nyc: @NateSilver538 @trvrb The estimates so far are based on just observational data. But there are other explanations (for eg,… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Retweet Deleted after 1 year, 10 months

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

10-20% more transmissable vs 56% or 70% seems like a pretty big difference. @trvrb does great threads on Twitter and hoping we'll get an explainer at some point about why it might be a higher or lower number. https://t.co/XVnvUbP0sT https://t.co/4KQyIr1dmZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another question for the epis on here is: how context-sensitive are these transmissability numbers? Is a variant that was say 50% more transmissible in the context of the UK in fall/winter 2020 also likely to be ~50% more transmissable in e.g. the US in winter/spring 2021? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020