Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Fri Dec 18 16:46:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But then in the next slide they say "differences among 3 strategies is minimal". Really? That doesn't sound minimal to me. And (as they note) implementation is easier if you do it based on age because it's a more objective criterion. https://t.co/wPVx5tE3q5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

ACIP estimates that if a vaccine is introduced at a time when cases are rising (i.e. now), prioritizing people aged 65+ would avert approximately 6.5% of COVID-related deaths over the next 6 months. That's quite a lot; maybe ~30k given current death rates. https://t.co/mdccG7VHXl https://t.co/tjJe9ffiEk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note also from their materials that prioritizing people with pre-existing conditions isn't projected to save nearly as many lives as prioritizing based on age. So they're basically ignoring their own data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2020