Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Thu Dec 17 20:48:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This gets a bit technical, but there are actually two sets of ratings we run for each player. One is called RAPTOR, which is what you see in the interactive here. But there's also a related system called PREDATOR or "predictive RAPTOR". 6/ https://t.co/uKS6KENaGJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's really best, though, *especially* for updating your ratings as the season goes along, is some sort of hybrid between TEAM-BASED and PLAYER-BASED. Whereas what we had last year was sort of on the extreme end of PLAYER-BASED with little/no team component. 5/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

PREDATOR was trained by looking at out-of-sample performance, especially for players who switch teams. So e.g. if Harden is traded to the Heat, PREDATOR would theoretically give you a better idea of his performance than RAPTOR. 7/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020