Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 3, 2021

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Sat Dec 12 15:44:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When I pointed out though that yes the Supreme Court could determine the result in a *very* close election but it would likely have to be very close indeed under certain specific scenarios, I got yelled at on this platform for not taking the chances seriously enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The chances that the election would be close enough that late-arriving ballots in PA would be enough to change the overall outcome was maybe something like 0.5% or 1%. (There were not many of these ballots.) So if that's what people were concerned about, it was overblown. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you want to take the position that the election aftermath went even worse than expected in some ways, but better than expected in other ways—including the Supreme Court—that seems reasonable and prudent! It's imperative to take stock of what happened. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2020