Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 1, 2021

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Thu Dec 10 22:42:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are some confounders here, but decently strong evidence that states with bigger COVID outbreaks at the time of the election had larger polling errors. — PolitiTweet.org

Check out this analysis by my partner, @BrianStryker & ALG associate, Oren Savir, on how COVID was responsible for… https://t.co/uPqQT9…

Posted Dec. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor I'm not sure I've seen that discussed anywhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The theory here, which seems perfectly reasonable, is that Biden voters were more likely to sit around at home and socially distance while Trump voters tended to be out and about more, and it's going to be a lot easier to poll someone if they're sitting around at home. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2020