Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 23, 2020

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Sat Dec 05 15:21:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1) FL's true number of infections is likely ~50% higher than NY right now once you adjust for the amount of testing: https://t.co/Qxu8rSPoV1 2) NY is not mostly closed. Schools (re)open, gyms open, indoor dining at 25-50% capacity (+ creative interpretations of "outdoor" dining) — PolitiTweet.org

How do pro-lockdown people explain that wide open Florida has approximately the same case numbers as mostly closed NY?

Posted Dec. 5, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@briankoppelman The thing people don't account for enough is the rate of COVID spread in their area. Indoor tennis with one person is gonna be relatively dangerous in North Dakota, but relatively safe in NYC (for now, but monitor as caseloads rise). https://t.co/m9TYnTDXUG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. I'm not advocating for any particular "side" in the lockdown debate, though I think a short-term, circuit-breaker lockdown right now would be highly worthwhile. But as someone who lives here, NYC/NYS have taken a fairly moderate, pragmatic approach as compared with say CA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 5, 2020