Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 15, 2020

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Tue Nov 24 18:54:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is still the Underwear Gnomes problem. Under what pretext would ACB "thrown out ballots", enough to swing a not-super-duper-close election? To the extent we're talking about mail votes that arrived after Election Day, the impact of that is quite small FWIW. — PolitiTweet.org

The doctorine/pretext is Trump explicitly said on TV the GOP senate needed to quickly confirm ACB to the Surpreme C… https://t.co/xSNN6Bf0W2

Posted Nov. 24, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Which was always an implausible plan that was extremely unlikely to succeed. To the extent that's the scenario people were banking on, it does look like an overreaction. There was never any explanation of the doctrine or pretext that courts would use to stop the count. — PolitiTweet.org

This is embrassing. It was all public. The Trump plan was to sue to stop the count of legal cast votes to stay ahea… https://t.co/dkZlNgSkoI

Posted Nov. 24, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump has also gotten his ass handed to him in court decisions so far. So if your version of the story was "courts will steal the election for Trump", I think that requires a deeper re-examination of one's priors than other theories. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2020