Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 9, 2020

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Thu Nov 19 15:45:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think these elites are also deluding themselves if they think that, if an election eventually does get stolen (very very likely not this one, but say 2024/2028/etc) that they'll be able to go back to the sort of cushy public life that they once enjoyed. It would be total chaos. — PolitiTweet.org

We are past the point at which Republican elites' refusal to condemn Trump's pathetic attempts to steal the electio… https://t.co/cvdLyi5Q1u

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2) People need to get over their obsession with internal polls. They usually say the same thing as high-quality public polls. They usually don't tell you anything you don't know. To the extent they do, it may be a) spin or b) wrong. https://t.co/tyIZ8cJb5p — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Revisiting this: It's not as though Trumpism has been a particularly successful electoral strategy. But there's a degree of path-dependancy. If Republicans can win elections about half the time with it because of their structural advantages, they have less incentive to change. — PolitiTweet.org

On the other hand, ordinarily a party like that would lose the large majority (say, 75-80%) of elections. But 48% p… https://t.co/ili8VsRsIF

Posted Nov. 19, 2020