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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 9, 2020

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Thu Nov 19 15:24:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Agree with this, and two additional points of context: 1) There's always the tendency to cast winning campaigns in the best possible light (and vice versa). FWIW, I do think Biden ran one of the better campaigns we've seen recently. But still, be wary of this halo effect. — PolitiTweet.org

David Leonhardt @DLeonhardt

+1 A lot of private pollsters are claiming their unreleased polls were more accurate than the public polls. Be sk… https://t.co/cIiKj9KjVK

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @MattZeitlin I think this dynamic was especially bad for COVID because coming up with a cohesive strategy sustainable over 12-18 months was always going to be incredibly difficult, so it was easier to just point toward Trump's (indeed mostly terrible/incoherent) approach and say "not that". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2) People need to get over their obsession with internal polls. They usually say the same thing as high-quality public polls. They usually don't tell you anything you don't know. To the extent they do, it may be a) spin or b) wrong. https://t.co/tyIZ8cJb5p — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2020