Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 5, 2020

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Tue Nov 17 19:08:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are actually some pretty interesting incentives here. If you had to guess, you'd think a Top 4 general election in Alaska would consist of Murkowski, a Democrat, a MAGA/Tea Party Republican, and a Libertarian. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So basically, Murkowski can live without fear of a Republican primary challenge. — PolitiTweet.org

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 has passed, per the AP. In 2022, Alaska will hold an all-party primary where the top 4 fini… https://t.co/LYXcXrMjCg

Posted Nov. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Who wins that? IDK, but in theory Murkowski could get squeezed out if say the Democrat gets 30% of the vote, the Libertarian gets 5% and the MAGA R gets 35%, leaving her with 30%. Murkowski doesn't want there to be a strong Democratic nominee, in other words. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020