Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 3, 2020

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Tue Nov 17 15:20:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm still tracking Biden's margin eventually getting up to 4.4 or 4.5 points. Apart from NY, there's not a *ton* left out there, but most of what's left should be pretty blue. Probably low-mid 6 figures worth of ballots to count in CA, IL, MA, MD, NJ, OH. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is higher than earlier estimates of ~1.5 million and many of these votes are uncounted and they're going to be very blue, so should boost Biden's popular vote margin a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

New: At least 1,920,176 people voted by absentee ballot in New York, according to latest count from the state Board of Elections.

Posted Nov. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Even the Ohio batch should be pretty blue since what's left is late-arriving mail ballots, mostly from fairly blue counties. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020