Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 1, 2020

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Mon Nov 16 20:48:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Actually it looks like PA will get Biden his 269th electoral vote (good enough for an Electoral College tie) and Wisconsin his 270th. When this happens, we consider there to be two tipping point states. So likely PA/WI get joint credit this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Looks like the tipping-point state will be Wisconsin again, and it'll likely finish around 3.5 to 4 points more GOP… https://t.co/KccaxJeqlW

Posted Nov. 16, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DanRosenheck @jipkin Also the fact that prediction market prices on Trump *right now* are *literally insane* might suggest that markets have no special sauce but just a pro-MAGA bias this cycle for whatever reason. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason for this is that if you count in the other direction, i.e. go from Trump's best state to Trump's worst state, then WI only gets Trump to 269 so he'd need PA for 270. So I guess you could say WI is Biden's tipping-point state but PA is Trump's. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2020