Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 30, 2020

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Sun Nov 15 20:27:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@maciekboni The source for the 1 in 11 estimate (which was indeed derived from seroprevalence studies) is here: https://t.co/LHq22TePFR And the source for the 1 in 3 estimate is here: https://t.co/jbq7H44fyu — PolitiTweet.org

We are identifying 100,000 or so COVID infections a day But given our still inadequate testing, I suspect we're mi… https://t.co/YfWcjd4sje

Posted Nov. 15, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thehowie Yeah, these estimates are trying to account for the number of tests a state was conducting per capita over the previous 14 days. But there's a lot of ambiguity, including on factors like # of tests conducted vs. # of people tested. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@maciekboni I picked these because these are reasonable middle-ground estimates (you can certainly find some that are higher or lower). I read on these topics pretty widely. They reflect the expert consensus as far as I'm able to discern it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2020