Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 30, 2020

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Sun Nov 15 19:31:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Even accounting for the fact that there was considerably more underdetection in the spring—when urban, coastal states were being hit harder—the pandemic really has turned out to be quite a bit worse in rural, conservative states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Use with caution, but some quick-and-dirty estimates of the share of each state's population ever infected with COVID. These assume—per various expert studies/estimates—that about 1 in 11 infections were detected in March through mid-May but that's improved to about 1 in 3 now. https://t.co/tc2RVcw7aR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thehowie Yeah, these estimates are trying to account for the number of tests a state was conducting per capita over the previous 14 days. But there's a lot of ambiguity, including on factors like # of tests conducted vs. # of people tested. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2020