Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 21, 2020

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Wed Nov 11 16:21:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other thing about Maine is that Susan Collins beat her polls by considerably more than Trump did, which isn't particularly consistent with a lot of theories about "shy Trump" voters, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you're looking for hints about where the polls were off, it looks like Biden will beat his polls by ~3 points in Maine's 1st Congressional District (Portland and environs) but underperform them by ~11 points in its more rural 2nd Congressional District. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It does seem plausible/likely that Collins benefited from her no vote on Amy Coney Barrett, as there weren't a lot of polls late in the race there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020