Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 21, 2020

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Wed Nov 11 02:18:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's actually kind of alarming how delusional prediction markets are. They give Trump a 12% chance of winning Nevada, a state that has been called for Biden and where he has a fairly large lead, and where there is no coup possibility since it's run by Democrats. https://t.co/syiUiMOBUe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, it's sort of amazing about how many opinions people have—positive, negative, right, wrong—about a fairly esoteric algorithm that transforms poll results (quite accurately, I might add) into probabilities. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There is literally free money sitting there but the market doesn't quite trust reality-based information sources enough to pick it up. It is disturbing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020