Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 20, 2020

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Tue Nov 10 23:11:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@LPDonovan CA has started to eat through its ballots fairly quickly. Still a lot out in NY and IL, though conflicting reports as to exactly how many. I had Biden winning by +4.3 eventually when I made some guesstimates this morning, anywhere from high 3's to low 5's wouldn't shock me tho. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jdelreal @aedwardslevy There are a lot of potholes to navigate though if you cover polls for a living, including people attributing positions to you that you don't hold or even are sort of the opposite of what you've said. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If people complain when the polls get the *outcome* right but the *margin* wrong (as in e.g. WI this year) and they also complain when polls get the outcome wrong but the margin is very close (say, Brexit) then at some point you have to conclude that people just like to complain. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020