Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Estimates of the polling error in swing states, making educated guesses about what the final numbers will look like in states that aren't done counting yet. WI Trump+8 IA T+7 FL T+6 MI T+5 TX T+5 OH T+5 NH T+4 ME T+3 PA T+3 NC T+2 NV T+2 MN T+2 VA T+2 AZ T+2 NM T+1 GA T+1 CO B+1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The error in non-swing state polls was often bigger than in the swing states (e.g Trump was way underestimated in states such as OK and WV) although those states didn't tend to attract a lot of high-quality polling. This was also an issue in 2016, FWIW. — PolitiTweet.org