Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Mon Nov 02 16:04:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGrossmann Quite conceivable that expanded access to mail voting increases turnout, net of ballot spoilage, which could lead to a pro-Biden polling error. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think our forecast has followed an intuitive path this year. It's hedging its bets more in the summer, then it starts to get more confident after Labor Day. But it's been pretty smooth, in contrast to our bouncier 2016 model (though of course the polls were way bouncer in '16). https://t.co/XKxUCiT8FN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pennsylvania isn't a huge mail-voting state, but Dems having returned 82% of mail ballots vs. 71% for Republicans is something that stands out a bit. Returned mail ballots are +43 Democrat but outstanding ones are just +9 D. https://t.co/sTPHw4KZsl https://t.co/nPpj6Uw9qE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated