Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Mon Nov 02 14:50:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not gonna do any model meta stuff since 1) who cares 2) everyone's forecasts are *pretty* similar. But just one stray comment on this interesting reading from the Economist team on how they think their forecast (Biden 96%) may be overconfident: https://t.co/mQGs3YuVNS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One state I am a bit curious about is Texas. Our forecast has been pretty skeptical about Biden's chances there, expecting Trump to close well. But instead Biden got a decent run of polls there this weekend and it now it has him within ~1 point. https://t.co/486ZZ385cV https://t.co/efAeDAaXaX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The comment is: Having a few elections under your belt helps a *lot*. No matter how much you test things in the lab, there are some things you're going to learn only by seeing how your forecast reacts to real data in real time. (I'm sure this applies to lots of other stuff too.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated