Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Sun Nov 01 14:35:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pollsters often take precautions in their final polls to protect vs. outliers. That can range from increasing the sample size (100% kosher) to adopting methodological changes they think will result in less variance or bring them more in line with other polls (maybe OK/maybe not). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pretty much every poll this morning coming in close to what you'd expect from the respective polling firm in the respective state. The final polls are usually not a time when you get big surprises. https://t.co/9AeTKX5o0O — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It can be a somewhat fine line, although at one end of it, there's a range of behavior that definitely isn't OK (e.g. now and then you learn later that a pollster declined to publish a number that it thought was an outlier). But in any event, the final polls can be anticlimactic. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated