Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Sun Nov 01 04:13:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not really anything earth-shattering here. The +7 in PA will help Biden in our averages (though ABC/Post had it +9 before) and the -2 in FL will hurt him (though ABC had Biden down by 4 in FL before). — PolitiTweet.org

NEW polls - Florida - Trump 50, Biden 48 Pennsylvania - Biden 51, Trump 44 https://t.co/dGVSvBS4sH

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing I don't get is the quest to "prove" a poll is an outlier by picking apart the crosstabs. If the topline differs from other polls, the crosstabs necessarily will too! Plus there's always some weird crosstab you can find in any poll since subgroup sample sizes are small. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One does start to wonder, though, if North Carolina has moved ahead of Florida in terms of being more winnable for Biden. It had in our model, even before this poll was added. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated