Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Sat Oct 31 22:36:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump can win... but he's more than a normal-sized polling error away. https://t.co/rPNeRYBvQV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's the 538 version of "what the map would look like if polls are exactly as wrong as in 2016". Note, though that a lot of states are close here. The tipping-point state would be Arizona, which Biden would win by 1.9 points. His wins in FL, GA and PA would all be <1 point. https://t.co/ViQCXxA2vK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Certainly Trump's best result in a high-quality poll in a while. We have gotten/will get lots more high-quality polls though and there haven't been many others with results like this. — PolitiTweet.org

Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41. That's the same margin as their final poll four ye… https://t.co/bTp8KrSqjg

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated