Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Fri Oct 30 02:33:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @kkondik: this is the right interpretation. That Iowa and Ohio still seem to be really close tell us that Biden's leads in MN-MI-PA-WI a… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@IChotiner That was a vital piece of journalism but alas, no, it doesn't affect our model; shy Trump voters are accounted for with the Yard Signs Coefficient. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The race is not tightening if you use any sort of robust methodology or look at the better polling. The tightening is almost entirely confined to a group of 3 or 4 pollsters that release a lot of polls and so can dominate polling averages that don't adjust for house effects, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated