Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Wed Oct 28 15:00:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A heads up for pollsters/everyone else: Our current plan is to freeze our presidential and congressional forecasts shortly after midnight on Nov. 3. Sometimes we've waited until 9/10 am but we're inclined to do midnight this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Despite that, surface readings of early/mail voting data would mostly seem to be good for Democrats. Maybe NV is something of an exception, and you could argue about FL. But that makes sense too. NV/FL have been Biden's worst swing states (as compared to 2016) in the polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So we'd strongly encourage pollsters not to wait until election morning to release any last-minute data. Get it to us by midnight if you want it included in the final 538 averages. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Hibernated