Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Wed Oct 28 13:44:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure that some of these early-voting comparisons to 2016 make a ton of sense given that much of Biden's edge is thought to come from independents breaking his way, and early voting statistics won't capture that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @aliciaparlap: We asked officials in every state about their expectations for counting votes on election night (and after) and made a bi… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For example, Biden lost independents by 13 points in Nevada in 2016, per the exit poll there. This year, he leads them by 3 points, in an average of the last 6 polls of the state. That amounts to a net 6 point swing to Biden. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Hibernated