Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Oct 27 23:58:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Iowa is the another state where polls have taken a pro-Biden turn lately though he has a small lead at best. But this is interesting since the "don't trust the polls" line is usually something a campaign says when it's well behind in a state. — PolitiTweet.org

I’m at a Don Jr rally in Cedar Rapids where Sonny Perdue is warming the crowd up by telling how the polls were wron… https://t.co/73vnLN2T2i

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia has a different mix of pollsters than the other states — fewer of the usual suspects and more one-offs — so it's not quite an apples-to-apples comparison. Still, can understand why the campaigns are spending resources there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

However, you have to be quite creative to come up with maps where Iowa is the tipping point. Possibly something like this, where Biden does well in the Upper Midwest but struggles in the Northeast and loses PA/NH/ME-2. https://t.co/EipfKoXv4S — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2020 Hibernated