Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Oct 27 13:01:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's ahead by 5.4 points in our PA polling average. But polls were off there by 4.4 points in 2016. So he's got a little bit of extra cushion, but not much. And a close result could go to the courts there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also got something else for you this morning: What if Biden loses Pennsylvania? https://t.co/wtfOa2RFCV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

However, Biden actually has decent chances if he loses PA, provided that he wins MI/WI where his polling lead is larger. Anyway, some interesting insights on the inner workings of our model here: https://t.co/Mb5btkZ7gc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated