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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Oct 27 12:40:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Actually Trump's odds (12%) are quite close to the chances of catching an inside straight (9%), low but still well within the realm of normal things you see in any poker session, and not the much less likely thing you are describing (0.3%). (Also, who plays draw poker anymore?) — PolitiTweet.org

Jeremy W. Peters @jwpetersNYT

Best election-poker analogy I’ve heard, from a very serious Republican: A Trump win wouldn’t be an inside straight.… https://t.co/vfDjv9dwIv

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten I am literally eating what are described as "crazy hot" potato chips as I type this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing to be aware of is that, by design, our state polling averages are going to get a little bit more aggressive in the final week here. That could be especially true over the next couple days as we get the first post-debate polls in a state, which get weighed more heavily. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated