Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 3, 2021

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Sat Oct 24 02:03:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen I'm trying to figure out how much Biden would have to win by for the conventional wisdom to become that polls had effed up rather than called the winner correctly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Without adjusting for partisanship (probably more D internals than R in here I would guess), recent congressional district polls would imply an 11 or 12 point shift toward Biden from 2016 results, i.e. that he's up by around 13 or 14 points nationally. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ — PolitiTweet.org

@btc2008 @kilometerbryman @PollsterPatrick @joshindenver @Redistrict @NateSilver538 I do, but it's missing a couple… https://t.co/8O5kZSKp2Z

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not some sort of COVID alarmist... I've tried to stay pretty even-keeled and have been burned by being too optimistic at times... but I find the rising case rates in the US (and for that matter also Europe) pretty worrisome right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated