Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

Created

Fri Oct 23 13:34:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump can win. It's mathematically possible that polls could be waayyy off or something could come from totally out of the blue. But there are also a lot of things working against him in the final 11 days. COVID cases are rising. He's way behind in $. And 50m have already voted. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I know this point was made repeatedly last night including by me, but after sleeping on it, I wonder if people aren't still underrating the importance of the debate having been Trump's best remaining opportunity to climb back into the race and it seemingly having been squandered. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin Yeah, I think the takes were right directionally, but this is a weird case where a non-event (the debate probably won't change many minds) is a big deal and maybe people are underestimating it magnitude-wise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated