Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

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Fri Oct 23 03:56:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The margin here is close enough to the overall margin in the horse race than I wouldn't expect too much change in the polls. But, of course, this was perhaps Trump's best remaining opportunity to turn the race around and he doesn't appear to have done it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is about what I would have expected. Trump lost all 5 of his general election debates (2 against Biden and 3 against Clinton) per CNN polling. This was actually the second-closest margin out of those (he lost the final debate in 2016 by 13 points). — PolitiTweet.org

And here we go. Who won CNN’s insta-poll (*of debate watchers)? Biden 53 Trump 39 (Sample very slightly R-skewed, CNN says.)

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @aedwardslevy: I realize this is beating a dead horse, but...SSRS, CNN's pollster, also conducts some of their polling online (their pos… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Retweet Hibernated