Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

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Thu Oct 22 23:06:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So…I do think it's worth mentioning that the pendulum has swung somewhat from contracting voting rights to expanding them over the past few years, and certainly many of the COVID-related changes (many of which are ostensibly temporary) count as expansive. https://t.co/0ngCtfP8fZ — PolitiTweet.org

It’s telling that cynical, reactionary supporters of voter suppression are viewing this estimate as some weird just… https://t.co/Vibl4F8Pzz

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think I'm making a more subtle point here, which is that a 15% vs. a 35% probability isn't highly actionable in the context of the 2020 presidential election in particular, i.e. it probably won't/shouldn't change your behavior, nor how you *feel* about the election. — PolitiTweet.org

I don’t get this. Yeah I get Bayesianism, but Bayesian probability is an epistemic state of affairs not a feature o… https://t.co/iShBeZ29Hr

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Normie Democrats and the media are *paying a lot more attention* to voting rights and voter suppression now (long overdue, IMO). But in general, voting will be easier in 2020 than it was in 2016, even if it's not as easy as it should be in some states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated