Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 22:47:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I understand the impulse to constantly make comparisons to 2016 but the whole point of a model like 538's is to not only make comparisons to 2016 but also to *all other presidential elections* for which we have useful data†. † 1880, 1936 or 1972 for various parts of the model — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A map of where the candidates are >50% in our polling average. (Gray = neither candidate above 50). https://t.co/jrUKgB26b2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We actually had HRC at 70% on Election Day but also 30% chance are supposed to happen 30% of the time, that's what the probabilities are for. https://t.co/8oqu1OmvAz — PolitiTweet.org

i remember checking 538 everyday in the morning 4 years ago. every day their models predicted HRC had 85% chances o… https://t.co/J0PNnxi6hg

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo