Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 16:32:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is pretty interesting ... starting to see more likely voter models where Democrats *gain* ground relative to the registered voter version. — PolitiTweet.org

Now that Dems are *already* voting in high numbers, Monmouth's "low turnout" model effectively shifted to what happ… https://t.co/TauzE4nJeO

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lots of *very* good state polls for Biden and merely-pretty-good national polls, a reversal of the pattern from recent days. These things do tend to even out over time. — PolitiTweet.org

Monmouth finds Biden+5 or +3 among LVs in Iowa; Greenfield up +6 or +2 in the Senate race. That's Biden's best Iowa… https://t.co/VDgJpV96Hr

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I also wonder whether this accounts for some of the gap between the higher-quality polls and the lower-quality ones (higher-quality polls have been better for Biden lately). The higher-quality polls may have more sophisticated ways to account for early voting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated