Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Mon Oct 19 20:29:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like, if this is what's coming out of Trump these days, it's not clear that Stepien wants him debating, especially if he could also impact downballot races. https://t.co/v192EZ8F7o — PolitiTweet.org

Trump just debuted a new attack line against Biden: “He wants to listen to Dr. Fauci.”

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Unless Stepien thinks Trump would be so bad that debating would lower his comeback odds, even though Trump generally wants high-variance strategies. It's not crazy: Trump historically loses ground following debates and his messaging has been even more erratic than usual lately. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen It's roughly breakeven for him if his expected value is -1 point with a standard deviation of +/-3 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated