Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 8, 2021

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Mon Oct 19 13:59:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The non-live state polls are a weird mix. Certainly some of the higher-quality online polls (e.g. YouGov or Ipsos) are worth paying attention to, although some of them (especially YouGov) tend to do a lot of weighting in ways that make them very steady relative to other polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Online and IVR state polls tend not to show that much change since the debate. Maybe they imply that Biden is +8 nationally or so. Some of the live-caller state polls we do have could be consistent with a larger Biden lead, though, of +10 or thereabouts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are also a lot of quasi-partisan state polls in the form of, say, Trafalgar or InsiderAdvantage on the R-leaning side, or Civiqs and PPP on the D-leaning side. Some of their polls officially get classified as partisan by 538 and some do not, depending on who the sponsor is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated