Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2021

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Thu Oct 15 20:29:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's weird to live through an experience—that we were sort of waving our arms around and saying "he's got a shot!" when very few people were doing that—and have a lot of people remember it exactly the opposite way. Especially in the internet era when you can look all of this up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We actually worried toward the end that we were overdoing it to some degree—not with the model itself, but that we tended to focus a lot more on Trump 30% chance than Clinton's 70%. And I think we probably would have gotten some crap for it if Clinton had won. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

All of this, plus it's also important to keep in mind that Trump may try to sow doubt about the election results. Perpetuating the idea that polling is broken or that the election is a tossup that will inevitability end up in the Supreme Court helps him to facilitate that. — PolitiTweet.org

The tough thing about writing cohesively about election polling in this cycle is that any piece needs to push back… https://t.co/a8iTBSO7Vx

Posted Oct. 15, 2020 Hibernated