Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 21, 2021

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Thu Oct 15 18:15:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's also interesting about Trafalgar is that they're always biased toward Trump by about the same amount, unlike Quinnipiac where they do have a handful of polls that are better than the average for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

So which poll is more biased? Trafalgar for Trump, or Quinnipiac for Biden? I calculated the difference between eac… https://t.co/yIh5QWAgoi

Posted Oct. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The media seems pretty eager for a new twist in the race after this disastrous period for Trump involving the debate and his COVID diagnosis, but that doesn't really correspond to what voters care about or are thinking about. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The largest error in here is 5.9 points (1996), which is smaller than Trump's current deficit in Pennsylvania, the most likely tipping-point state. — PolitiTweet.org

The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 19 days until E-Day: 2020: Biden+10.5 2016: Clinton+6.9 2012: Romn… https://t.co/sK8IFeafKq

Posted Oct. 15, 2020 Hibernated