Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Wed Oct 14 01:52:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Gallup has a net +53 on whether voters are more enthusiastic or less enthusiastic than usual to vote, which I believe is the largest spread ever recorded on that question. This is a pretty reliable predictor of turnout. https://t.co/oWwvzD3U3F https://t.co/Vle6rNvSty — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, you would think this sort of pollster faces less reputational risk than a US-based firm—if their results are way off, they can just say "welp, the US is hard"—but the question is whether that frees them up to avoid herding or enables them to publish wacky stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: How conservative is Amy Coney Barrett? https://t.co/fcjpewXkys — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2020 Retweet Hibernated