Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Tue Oct 13 23:47:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing I have completely no idea what to make of is the various British, Canadian and Latin American pollsters that have started to poll the US presidential race. A couple of them have quite strong results for Biden, although not all do. https://t.co/Ashqhf3WCe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SenhorRaposa I think the big news organizations think about media narratives, e.g. MN and WI are relevant after "law and order", and they tend to think similarly to one another so you get some duplication. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, you would think this sort of pollster faces less reputational risk than a US-based firm—if their results are way off, they can just say "welp, the US is hard"—but the question is whether that frees them up to avoid herding or enables them to publish wacky stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated