Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Tue Oct 13 22:03:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I think it's a sensible forecast. Overcoming an 7-8 point deficit in the tipping point states in 3 weeks is very hard though not impossible. And although there are some additional reasons for uncertainty this year, our model (tries to) account for (some) of those. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Something like long lines in GA might be typical on the first day of early voting. But that doesn't mean it couldn't have an impact, although in this case there is still plenty of time to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm There's still a chance that Trump can draw things closer with the 2nd debate. But if we go into Election Day with the current numbers and Trump won, it would either mean that polling was VERY broken (which our model does try to account for) or the election was (which it doesn't). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated