Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Tue Oct 13 13:05:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump doubling down on a series of extremely unpopular messages about COVID—after having caught COVID, and at a time when COVID cases are rising again nationally—is about the worst possible closing pitch, and one has to wonder about how downballot GOP candidates feel about it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The base case is that the big Democratic surge in early/absentee voting is already priced into the polls and will be counteracted by a huge GOP turnout on Election Day. But sometimes the base case is wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe there'd be a needle to thread for a skilled politician. I'm not sure high support for lockdowns in polls squares with people's behavior/revealed preferences. But attacking Dr. Fauci, or saying you're immune and want to kiss everyone, isn't it. https://t.co/JGVREvQXqT — PolitiTweet.org

Actually, Tony’s pitching arm is far more accurate than his prognostications. “No problem, no masks”. WHO no longer… https://t.co/EaYTc85mQN

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated