Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Mon Oct 12 17:50:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dhopkins1776 Good catch! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the Michigan Senate race, we have Peters projected to win by 5-6, which translates into a 75-80% chance of victory. On the one hand, it's premature to call the race a toss-up. But a 20-25% chance of James winning counts as a real headache for Dems. (reposted to fix typos) https://t.co/QVaex5m4tB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Ad spending here, especially for Trump, is tilted toward the *closest* states rather than the *tipping-point* states, which is generally a mistake if your goal is maximizing 270+ EV although might make sense if you think that margin of victory matters. — PolitiTweet.org

Here's where Biden/Trump spent $$ on Facebook ads last week: BIDEN - Spent $6.5M (down ~$700K from previous week)… https://t.co/bvMYnE9Cd0

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated