Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Mon Oct 12 17:35:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the Michigan Senate race, we have Peters projected to win by 5-6, which translates into 75-80% chance of victory. On the one hand, it's premature to call the race a toss-up. But a 20-25% chance of Jones winning counts as a real headache for Dems. https://t.co/hzZw7KyqyB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other thing too: The fact that Biden's lead seems to stem from persuasion rather than turnout might make it a bit more robust to polling error. You're not a shy Trump voter if you tell a pollster that you voted for Trump in 2016 but are voting Biden this time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the Michigan Senate race, we have Peters projected to win by 5-6, which translates into a 75-80% chance of victory. On the one hand, it's premature to call the race a toss-up. But a 20-25% chance of James winning counts as a real headache for Dems. (reposted to fix typos) https://t.co/QVaex5m4tB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated