Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Mon Oct 12 17:13:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@espiers You generate a fair amount of body heat, so it is not that bad once you get going. The hard part is getting going. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Great work here BTW showing that Biden is winning largely on the basis of persuasion rather than turnout. Flipping even a small number of Trump 2016 voters and Johnson 2016 voters makes a big difference. https://t.co/wtTfvdlCrL https://t.co/4bbYJeDunl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other thing too: The fact that Biden's lead seems to stem from persuasion rather than turnout might make it a bit more robust to polling error. You're not a shy Trump voter if you tell a pollster that you voted for Trump in 2016 but are voting Biden this time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated