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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Mon Oct 12 16:33:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @jtlevy: On the one hand, Trump is down by 10.6, more than the polls have ever changed this late. On the other hand, they've twice swu… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Still, this presents challenges for likely voter models with early/mail voting being highly D-leaning this year. I can imagine various strategies that pollsters would adopt that could lead them to either underestimate or overestimate Democratic margins. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So these new Times/Siena polls (Biden +8 in MI and +10 in WI) are more line with what you'd expect from national polls. And in general, the higher-quality state polls have been worse for Trump lately. https://t.co/62ftGY0rb3 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Joe Biden leads in Wisconsin and Michigan by a significant margin, according to new Times/Siena polls. Biden leads… https://t.co/e8WUXbLmg0

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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