Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Sun Oct 11 15:45:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

BTW, New York's now conducting around 125,000 tests per day, or nearly a million tests a week. There's a lot you can do with that volume of testing that you couldn't with a somewhat lower volume. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

New York's back under a 1% positive test rate. So far, containing the outbreak to certain zip codes seems to be working, though we'll have see how well that holds up as it gets colder and more activity moves indoors. — PolitiTweet.org

Today's update on the numbers: Of the 118,254 tests reported yesterday, 1,143 were positive (0.96% of total) Tota… https://t.co/6nYk8Unjps

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Even if Trump's chances get down to 5% or something (which they could by Election Day if current polls hold) that's not nothing. Think of all of the changes that we're quite rationally making to avoid COVID-19, which has a ~1% fatality rate (+ ?% of long-term complications). — PolitiTweet.org

If you rounded the other way, to 1-in-6, you'd have the chances of losing at Russian Roulette. Again, if you were… https://t.co/WaEcyMnCb5

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated