Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 3, 2021

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Sat Oct 10 14:08:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In 2016, 18% of voters disliked both Trump and Clinton, and their votes went 47% Trump, 30% Clinton, 21% third-party. If this year those voters go 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% third-party, Biden would win by 10-11 points, i.e. about his current margin in national polls. https://t.co/pHad4mxxIZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Or to flip this around a bit: these were some of Hillary Clinton's strongest groups (certainly Latinos and white women; Black voters more debatable). — PolitiTweet.org

Trump doing much worse overall but somewhat better with Blacks, Latinos, and white women. https://t.co/9IiRpy3gQK

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are decent numbers of Biden yard signs in the NYC suburbs tbh which aren't predictive of anything but it does seem like maybe Dems who wouldn't have bothered with yard signs in the past see them as a quaint, welcome symbol of normalcy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated