Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 1, 2021

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Fri Oct 09 19:54:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is worth mentioning that "gold standard" state polls (nonpartisan live caller w/cell phone) have been 1-2 points better for Biden than the average of all post-debate state polls. So there could be some bigger numbers for Biden coming as higher-quality state polls filter in. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Oops, forgot Wisconsin in that table. Sorry, Wisconsin. https://t.co/4nbaSKxrVi — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of what *might* be going on: Some of these middling-quality pollsters do a bit of herding. High-profile national polls (e.g. NBC/WSJ Biden +14) opened the floodgates for basically anything goes in national polls, but they may be herding to pre-debate averages in state polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2020 Hibernated